Part familyRear floor cross-member, two variants
Launch gatePPA · performance test
PeriodOne operating year, modelled
Sheet1 / 7
Automotive Tier-1 · Body-in-white · Stamping and robotic welding

Two press lines, twelve weld cells, ten makes of equipment, one record

A plant like this: a Tier-1 body plant with a part family in launch

The press control knows the hit, the weld controller knows the spot, the peel test knows the nugget, and the OEM's scorecard knows the ppm. Today those four live in four places and meet in a meeting. Pragmatos puts them on one read-only record, time-stamped by one clock, so the die change, the suspect window, the weld finding and the performance-test count are settled from readings.

Sector mark: a C-frame press with its die set and a drawn blank. The equipment on these sheets is lettered, not named.

The five scorecard quantities, as the plant reads them today

61 %
OEE on the four weld cells that pace the line, from the shift log
42 min
median die change, last part to first good part; the fastest crew makes 31
3 / yr
containment episodes: OEM-side sort or controlled shipping, about €35,000 each
1 : 1.4
launches to performance-test runs; the count that fails is as often disputed as short
ppm
on the OEM's scorecard, monthly, against a target the plant cannot trace to a shift
The question this reference answers. What does a Tier-1 body plant with two press lines, twelve robotic weld cells, three makes of robot, two makes of weld controller and one part family in launch get from putting the press, the robot, the weld controller and the test bench on one record, and what does it have to leave out?

Starting point

Press controls keep the last few hundred events on the HMI. Weld controllers keep per-spot readings in a ring buffer that is overwritten in days. Peel and chisel results are on a shift sheet. Robot alarms are on the pendant. The launch file is a spreadsheet assembled the week before the OEM visit.

Approach

A read-only edge in each shop reads what the controls already expose. One site server holds the record. Pragmatos Live shows it line by line and cell by cell, Pulse shows the trend per press and per cell, Orbis proposes a hold or a check and a named person approves it, Decisions keeps the chain. Nothing writes back to a press, a robot or a weld controller.

What it does not do

It does not start a press, move a robot, change a weld schedule or dress a cap. It does not replace the peel test, the OEM's audit or the launch team. It makes no forecast of die life or electrode life. The ppm on the OEM's scorecard stays the OEM's figure; this record shows the plant's side of it.

Results for a plant of this size, one operating year, every figure modelled on sheet 7

€115,200
die-change minutes held across the crews, press lines
€42,000
containment cost, suspect window bounded by readings
€44,145
scrap and rework, press drift seen at onset, weld fault at the first bad spot
€48,400
weld-cell OEE, one point on four pacing cells (the weakest figure)
€20,160
performance-test re-runs no longer caused by a disputed count
€269,905
a year, five figures that do not overlap MODELLED

Contents

Line walk: press shop, body shop, launch, people2
Scorecard lines: what the OEM sees, what the plant knows3
One record: the read paths, the modules, the human step4
What the readings show: a fortnight of die changes; before and with5
Changeover sheet: the rollout; scorecard dials: the results6
Calculation sheet: every input, the formula, half and double7

Deployment path

Twelve weeks, sheet 6. On the plant's own servers, or on infrastructure the plant operates. Open-source core; the record exports in full.

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Pragmatos · Crius Softwareautomotive Tier-1 case study · CS-09 · 2026
Part familyRear floor cross-member, two variants
Launch gatePPA · performance test
PeriodOne operating year, modelled
Sheet2 / 7

Line walk: what is on the floor and what it writes down

Press shop · body shop · launch · people
PRESS SHOP Line 1 · transfer press · maker A · control H coil → blank → 5 stations → part Line 2 · tandem line, five presses · maker B · control I crossbar transfer between presses DIE STORE about 140 die sets · die ID read at set-down Peel bench and setter crews A, B, C · 3 shifts · 230 days BODY SHOP Cell 1 robot C weld F Cell 2 robot C weld F Cell 3 robot D weld F Cell 4 robot D weld F Cell 5 robot E weld F Cell 6 robot E weld F Cell 7 robot C weld G Cell 8 robot D weld G Cell 9 robot D weld G Cell 10 robot E weld G Cell 11 robot D laser J Cell 12 robot D laser J four cells that pace the line (OEE 61 % today) Cell PLC per cell · peel and chisel bench per shift · one coupon per cell per shift
The plant on one sheet. Press shop on the left: line 1, a transfer press (maker A, control H); line 2, a tandem line of five presses (maker B, control I); about 140 die sets. Body shop on the right: twelve cells; robots from makers C, D and E; resistance-spot weld controllers from F and G; a laser source from J in two cells. One peel and chisel bench per shop shift. Lettering is by maker, not by name.
StationEquipment, letteredWhat it records todayWho reads it
Press line 1Transfer press, maker A, press control H; die ID read by the control at die set-downLast few hundred events on the HMI; strokes per minute, slide position, cushion pressure, die ID; overwrittenSetter, at the press
Press line 2Tandem line of five presses, maker B, control I; crossbar transferSame, per press; no shared clock between the fiveSetter, at each press
Weld cells 1–10Robots C, D and E; resistance-spot weld controllers F (cells 1–6) and G (7–10); cell PLCPer-spot current, voltage, time and electrode force in a ring buffer; cap-dress counter; robot alarms on the pendantCell maintenance, when called
Weld cells 11–12Robots D; laser source J; seam tracking on the headLaser power, feed, seam position per weld; a text log on the sourceProcess engineer, weekly
Test benchPeel and chisel bench per shop and shift; coupon per cell per shiftNugget diameter and failure mode on a shift sheet, per ISO 10447Quality technician
LaunchOne part family in production part approval; the performance test under series conditions is the gateCount, cycle time and first-pass yield on a tally sheet; the OEM witnessesLaunch manager
ScorecardMonthly from the OEM: ppm, delivery, incidents, a rating per lineThe plant's rebuttal is assembled from the four records above, after the factQuality manager

Three shifts, about 230 production days. The press shop and the body shop each have their own supervisor; the launch team sits between them and borrows line time from both. Every quantity on the OEM's scorecard is produced on this floor, and no two of the records that explain it share a clock.

The sector, in the plant's own numbers

Three in four European suppliers report a profitability below five per cent; one in four reports a loss; three in four say their portfolio is under review. S1

Employment in the German automotive industry fell 5.8 % in a year to 691,500; at suppliers it fell 7.6 % to 219,500, the lowest since 2005. S2

A fifth of Germany's workforce is 55 or older. The plant's setters and weld technicians are in that fifth more often than its planners are. S2

Why this matters here

Cost-down letters arrive yearly. The plant's answer has to come from its own floor: minutes on the press, parts not sorted, hours not reworked, launches not re-run. Each of those is a reading before it is a euro.

Read-path legend

R existing interface
S survey confirms a path first
H entered by hand

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Pragmatos · Crius Softwareautomotive Tier-1 case study · CS-09 · 2026
Part familyRear floor cross-member, two variants
Launch gatePPA · performance test
PeriodOne operating year, modelled
Sheet3 / 7

Scorecard lines: what the OEM sees, what the plant knows

The rating cell is left empty on purpose
CategoryWhat the OEM seesWhat the plant knows, and cannot showRatingSrc
Quality at the dockA ppm figure per month, against a target in the supplier manual. A rating per line.Which lots went out on which date. Not which shift, which die set or which cap-dress interval made them; the controller memory is gone by the time the complaint arrives.S7
ContainmentControlled shipping invoked: 100 % inspection by the plant's own people, then, at the next level, by a third party the OEM chooses and the plant pays.The defect is real and the window is not: without a time-stamped record of the cushion pressure or the weld current, the suspect window is "since the last good audit", which is the whole fortnight.S7
Launch readinessThe performance test is a production run under series conditions, with the series equipment, tooling, people and cycle time, re-run after a failure once the cause is removed.The line made rate on the second shift and the tally sheet says it did not. The re-run costs a day of line time and a second OEM visit; the dispute is about the count, not the capacity.S3
Die changeNothing, until a delivery slips. Then: a corrective-action request.Median 42 minutes from last part to first good part, fastest crew 31. The spread is the record the plant does not have: which crew did the external work before the stop and which did it during.S5
Weld qualityAudit findings cluster on five clauses: problem solving, control plan, nonconformity and corrective action, and monitoring and measuring. An oversight-body ranking puts them at the top every year.A peel coupon per cell per shift gives nugget size and failure mode for one spot in thousands. Between coupons the only record is the controller's own per-spot reading, and it is overwritten.S4 S6
Cost-downA yearly letter asking for a percentage.Which line, which crew and which hour the percentage is hiding in. The plant answers with an average because an average is what the records allow.S1

The thread through the six lines

Every line on the scorecard is argued from a record the plant assembles after the fact, from four memories that do not share a clock and two that are overwritten within days. The plant is not short of readings. It is short of a record that was written at the time, by the equipment, and can be shown to the OEM's auditor without a spreadsheet in between.

That is the whole of what this reference adds: the record. The readings exist; the press control, the weld controller, the laser source and the robot controller write them already. The peel bench and the launch tally are entered by hand, against the same clock, and stay beside the readings they confirm or contradict.

Sources S1 to S7 are listed on sheet 7.

How to read this sheet

Each line is a category on an OEM scorecard. The middle column is what the plant could put in its rebuttal if it had the record. The rating cell is empty because the rating belongs to the OEM and the plant's own numbers go in a plant's own copy.

What is not on this sheet

No ppm target. The targets live in each OEM's supplier manual and differ by part and by year; a figure here would be invented.

No defect rate from the standards. ISO 10447 describes a test, VDA 2 describes an approval; neither says how often a plant fails them.

Vocabulary

PPA production process and product approval (VDA 2), the German-market counterpart of PPAP. Performance test the run at series rate the OEM witnesses; often called run@rate. Controlled shipping OEM-imposed 100 % inspection, level 1 by the plant, level 2 by a third party. Peel test destructive check of a spot weld's nugget.

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Pragmatos · Crius Softwareautomotive Tier-1 case study · CS-09 · 2026
Part familyRear floor cross-member, two variants
Launch gatePPA · performance test
PeriodOne operating year, modelled
Sheet4 / 7

One record: the read paths, the modules, the human step

Read-only edge · site server · one clock
PRESS SHOP Press control H, line 1 hit record, cushion, slide, die ID · OPC UA R Press control I, line 2 ×5 the same, per press R Setter, launch tally first-off gauge, count H Weld controllers F, G per-spot I, U, t, force · via cell PLC or coupler S Robots C, D, E state, program, alarm list R S Laser source J, cells 11–12 power, feed, seam position · text log S Peel bench, quality technician nugget mm, failure mode per coupon H BODY SHOP EDGE · press shop read-only no write path 72 h buffer EDGE · body shop read-only no write path 72 h buffer SITE SERVER · one clock Pragmatos Live · lines and cells now Pulse · trend per press and cell Orbis · proposal with reasoning Flow · the work, owner, due time Decisions · the chain, exportable screen at the line / cell approve here launch file OEM auditor read here R existing interface S survey confirms the path first H entered by hand, same clock Arrows run one way. Dashed: entered by a person. Nothing is written to a press, robot, weld controller or PLC.
Two read-only edges, one site server, one clock. Press controls H and I expose the hit record over OPC UA where the control offers it (R); the die ID comes from the same control (R). Weld controllers F and G expose the per-spot record on the cell bus through the PLC or a coupler already on that bus (S). Robot controllers C, D, E: state and alarm list (R / S by maker). Laser source J: its text log (S). Peel coupons and the launch tally are entered by hand (H). Nothing flows the other way.
Loomreads the press, the weld controller, the robot and the laser source; one adapter per interface; a supervisor approves each connection before it reads
Pragmatos Liveshows the two lines and twelve cells now: state, current die or program, stop cause, newest reading and its age
Pulseshows the trend per press and per cell: cushion pressure against its limits, weld current since the last cap dress, control-chart advice, no forecast
Orbisproposes one action with its reasoning: hold these assemblies, check this dresser. A named person approves or rejects. It writes to no machine
Flowturns the approved proposal into work: a hold on a lot, a check on a cell, a coupon to the bench, with a due time and an owner
Decisionskeeps the chain: the reading, the proposal, the approval, the work and its result, as one record the launch file and the rebuttal cite

The human step, on one Tuesday afternoon, cell 7

14:12 readingWeld controller G, cell 7, robot 2: weld current 6 % under schedule on spots 31–34 of the last three assemblies; electrode force unchanged. Pulse shows the current drifting since the cap dress at 13:50. S
14:13 proposalOrbis: hold the 38 assemblies welded on cell 7 since 13:50 and send one coupon to the bench; check the cap dresser on robot 2. Readings used: per-spot current and force, 1,140 spots since 13:50. Rule: current below schedule on four consecutive spots after a dress. Rests on: nine weeks of cell 7 readings. Risk: 38 assemblies held for about forty minutes. What it cannot tell: whether the nugget is under size; only the coupon can.
14:16 approvalThe body-shop shift leader approves on the Pragmatos Live screen at the cell. Name, role and time go on the record. The hold is hers, not the software's.
14:18 workFlow raises the hold on the 38 assemblies HOLD and a check on the dresser, due 15:00, owner cell maintenance. The dresser blade is found chipped; replaced 14:41.
15:02 resultCoupon from the held lot: nugget 4.1 mm on the under-current spots, below the control plan's minimum. The 38 assemblies go to rework; the 310 before 13:50 do not. The quality technician enters the coupon result against the same record. H
DecisionsOne chain: reading → proposal → approval → work → result. In the launch file it is the evidence that the control plan works. In the rebuttal it is the suspect window: 38, not 348.

What this record does not do

The edge has no write path. Pragmatos does not start a press, change a weld schedule, move a robot, set a force or dress a cap. It does not decide the hold; the shift leader does. It does not replace the coupon; the coupon decides the nugget. The edge keeps about 72 hours of readings if the link to the site server drops, and a reading older than three poll cycles is shown as out of contact, not as a value.

It reads

Press control: stroke count, slide position, cushion pressure, die ID, state. R
Weld controller: per-spot current, voltage, time, force; cap-dress counter. S
Robot: state, program, alarm list. RS
Laser source: power, feed, seam position. S

It records

Every reading with the clock, the die or program, the shift and the lot it fell in; every proposal, approval and piece of work against the same clock. Retention set per record class; the plant chooses.

It shows

Lines and cells now; the trend per press and per cell; the open holds and checks; the launch file as it stands; the rebuttal as a list of records, not a narrative.

Who may do what

Nine roles. The installer who connects a press control is never the person who approves the connection. Figures about people are shown for groups of five or more.

Where it runs

On the plant's own servers, or on infrastructure the plant operates. The OEM's auditor sees the record on the plant's screen, not on a vendor's.

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Pragmatos · Crius Softwareautomotive Tier-1 case study · CS-09 · 2026
Part familyRear floor cross-member, two variants
Launch gatePPA · performance test
PeriodOne operating year, modelled
Sheet5 / 7

What the readings show: a fortnight of die changes on line 1

Modelled readings for a plant of this size
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 min day 1 day 2 day 3 day 4 day 5 day 6 day 7 day 8 day 9 day 10 plant median 42 fastest crew median 31 crew A crew B crew C external work done during the stop internal work, press stopped (within 4 min across crews) scale from zero · values modelled
Forty-four die changes on press line 1 over ten production days, last part to first good part, one bar per change, coloured by crew. The lower part of each bar is the internal work that needs the press stopped; the lighter upper part is external work (die staged, clamps and hoses ready, first-off gauge at the press) that was done during the stop instead of before it. Median 42 minutes; the fastest crew's median 31. The record shows where the spread sits: not in the internal work, which is within four minutes across the crews, but in the external work done late. Scale from zero; values modelled.

The press control writes the die ID at set-down and the first good stroke after it; the record between the two is the changeover. Pragmatos Live shows it as a timer at the line, Pulse shows the fortnight as this figure, and the press-shop supervisor sees for the first time that the fastest crew is not faster at the work, it starts the work earlier. The figure is the input to C-07 on sheet 7: a third of the spread held, not all of it, because a crew on a bad night will still do the external work late.

Before, and with the record

On the scorecardTodayWith one record
Die changeA median from memory; the spread is an argument between crews.Every change timed by the press control, split internal and external, by crew; the external share is coached from the figure, not the anecdote.
Suspect window"Since the last good audit": the fortnight, sorted at the plant's cost.From the first out-of-limit reading to the approved hold: cell, robot, spots, assemblies, on the record the OEM's engineer can read.
Press driftCushion pressure drift found at the end-of-line audit; the run is scrapped back to the last audit.Pulse shows the drift against its limits as it starts; Orbis proposes a stop and a check; the setter approves; the scrap is the parts since onset.
Weld reworkA missed cap dress is found at the next coupon; the shift's assemblies are re-welded by hand.The controller's per-spot reading raises the fault at the first bad spot; the hold is 38 assemblies, the coupon confirms, the rest of the shift stands.
Performance testA tally sheet and a stopwatch; the OEM's witness has their own.Count, cycle time and stop causes from the press control and the cell PLCs, on one clock, printed from Decisions for the launch file; the dispute moves from the count to the cause.
AuditA week assembling evidence for 10.2.3 and 8.5.1.1 from four systems and a shift sheet.The chain reading → proposal → approval → work → result is the evidence; the coupon is on it; the auditor reads it on the plant's screen.

Reading the figure

Crew colours: A primer red, B zinc grey, C amber. Internal work solid; external-done-late hatched. The dashed line is the plant median, the dotted line the fastest crew's median.

What the figure is not

Not a measured plant. The bars are modelled from the inputs on sheet 7 for a line of this kind; a plant's own fortnight replaces them in the first week of the press-shop phase.

Not a forecast. Nothing on this sheet says what the next change will take.

Why this figure

Of the five results, the die-change minutes are the one the plant can check against its own press control within a month, without a complaint, a launch or an audit to wait for. It is the figure to argue with first.

Weld-cell OEE

The cell figure is on the next sheet as a dial and is named the weakest of the five: it rests on one assumed OEE point and on the plant acting on the stop causes the record shows.

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Pragmatos · Crius Softwareautomotive Tier-1 case study · CS-09 · 2026
Part familyRear floor cross-member, two variants
Launch gatePPA · performance test
PeriodOne operating year, modelled
Sheet6 / 7

Changeover sheet: the rollout, and the scorecard dials

Twelve weeks · two lanes · five dials
wk 1 wk 2 wk 3 wk 4 wk 5 wk 6 wk 7 wk 8 wk 9 wk 10 wk 11 wk 12 LINE RUNNING external work, beside production LINE STOPPED internal work, short windows Survey: every control, tag, clock Press shop: edge, line 1, die-change timer, first fortnight figure Body shop: edge, cells 7–10, Pulse trend, Orbis rules, first coupon on the record All cells, launch file from Decisions, auditor's screen one changeover, line 1: confirm OPC UA read + die ID cell 7, inside a cap change cell 8 cell 9 cell 10 Saturday a.m.: laser cells No stop longer than one changeover. Each read-only connection is approved by the shop's supervisor before it reads; the installer is never the approver.
The rollout drawn as a die change: external work in the "line running" lane, done beside production; internal work in the "line stopped" lane, the short windows that need a stop. Twelve weeks from the survey to the launch file on the record. The stops are planned into existing die changes and the weekend; no stop is longer than one changeover.
PhaseLine runningLine stoppedWho
Survey, weeks 1–2Walk every control with the plant's own list: which interface, which tag, which clock. The S badges on sheet 4 turn into R or H.None.Plant maintenance lead, Crius engineer
Press shop, weeks 3–6Edge installed and read-only connection to control H approved by the press-shop supervisor; die-change timer live; first fortnight figure.One changeover window on line 1 to confirm the OPC UA read and the die ID.Press-shop supervisor approves; setter crews read
Body shop, weeks 5–9Edge installed; cells 7–10 (controller G) read through the cell PLC; Pulse trend per cell; Orbis rules written with the weld engineer; first coupon entered against the record.One stop per cell, inside a scheduled cap change, to confirm the per-spot read.Body-shop supervisor approves; weld engineer writes the rules
All cells, launch, weeks 9–12Cells 1–6 and the two laser cells; the performance-test count read from the press control and the cell PLCs; the launch file printed from Decisions; roles set for the OEM's auditor's screen.One Saturday morning for the two laser cells.Launch manager, quality manager

Scorecard dials: today's reading to the modelled reading

0todaymodelled42 min → 38.3 minscale 0–60 min
Die change, median minutes, press lines
€115,200
a year · MODELLED
0todaymodelled€105k → €63kscale 0–€120k
Containment cost, OEM-side sort and controlled shipping
€42,000
a year · MODELLED
0todaymodelled€141k → €97kscale 0–€160k
Scrap and rework on the part family, internal
€44,145
a year · MODELLED
0todaymodelled61 % → 62 %scale 0–100 %
Weld-cell OEE, four pacing cells (weakest figure)
€48,400
a year · MODELLED
0todaymodelled1.4 → 0.84scale 0–2
Performance-test re-runs per launch
€20,160
a year · MODELLED

Each dial is scaled from zero. The grey arc is today's reading; the red segment is the modelled movement. The euro figure below each dial is one operating year and comes from sheet 7. The five do not overlap: press lines and weld cells are different equipment, internal scrap and OEM-side containment are different episodes, and launch re-runs are outside series production. MODELLED

What the deployment is built on

Open-source core under Apache-2.0; the plant's record exports in full, per company, in open formats. Monthly releases, each one supported for twelve months, installable as an offline bundle with rollback and a software bill of materials.

Retention per record class; the plant chooses. For a part on an OEM programme that is commonly the life of the part plus one year, which the record can hold.

The moat

Not the adapters; a weld-controller read is a week's work for anyone. The moat is the record itself after a year: ten thousand die changes and a hundred million spots, each with its shift, die, crew and coupon beside it, on one clock, in a form the plant owns and can take elsewhere. The OEM's engineer learns to ask for it by name.

Shown, not counted

The ppm on the OEM's scorecard; energy per hit; electrode-cap life; the quality manager's hours on rebuttals; audit preparation hours; Saturday shifts. Each is on the record; none is in the total.

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Pragmatos · Crius Softwareautomotive Tier-1 case study · CS-09 · 2026
Part familyRear floor cross-member, two variants
Launch gatePPA · performance test
PeriodOne operating year, modelled
Sheet7 / 7

Calculation sheet: every input, the formula, half and double

Replace any C-row with the plant's own figure
RowInputValueKind
C-01Production days a year230ASSUMED
C-02Press lines (one transfer line, one tandem line)2ASSUMED
C-03Die changes a line a day, all shifts4.5ASSUMED
C-04Die changes a year = C-02 x C-03 x C-012,070DERIVED
C-05Die-change minutes, last part to first good part, median crew today42 minASSUMED
C-06The same, fastest crew today31 minASSUMED
C-07Share of the crew spread held once every change is on one record0.33ASSUMED
C-08Minutes back per change = (C-05 - C-06) x C-073.7 minDERIVED
C-09Press hours back a year = C-04 x C-08 / 60128 hDERIVED
C-10Marginal cost of a press-line hour: crew overtime, energy, maintenance (not the absorbed rate)€900ASSUMED
C-11Containment episodes a year: OEM-side sort or controlled shipping3ASSUMED
C-12Cost of one episode: third-party sort, 100 % inspection, expedited freight€35,000ASSUMED
C-13Episodes where the suspect window can be bounded by the readings2ASSUMED
C-14Share of the sort that falls away when the window is bounded0.6ASSUMED
C-15Press runs a year stopped for a parameter drift: cushion pressure, slide position, blank lubrication18ASSUMED
C-16Parts scrapped per such run, drift seen at the end-of-line audit, today340ASSUMED
C-17The same, drift seen at onset on the press readings90ASSUMED
C-18Cost of one scrapped part: blank net of scrap return, plus processing€6.4ASSUMED
C-19Weld rework hours a year: manual re-weld after a missed cap dress or a stuck electrode1,650 hASSUMED
C-20Share that falls away when the controller readings raise the fault at the first bad spot0.15ASSUMED
C-21Loaded cost of a rework hour€62ASSUMED
C-22Weld cells that pace the line (of 12)4ASSUMED
C-23Planned hours a cell a year, three shifts5,500 hASSUMED
C-24OEE of those cells today0.61ASSUMED
C-25OEE points back once every stop has a cause and a length1 ptASSUMED
C-26Cell hours back a year = C-22 x C-23 x C-25 / 100220 hDERIVED
C-27Marginal value of a pacing-cell hour: Saturday shift avoided€220ASSUMED
C-28Part-family launches a year2ASSUMED
C-29Performance-test re-runs per launch today1.4ASSUMED
C-30Share of re-runs caused by a disputed or incomplete count, not a capacity shortfall0.4ASSUMED
C-31Cost of one re-run: eight hours of line time, launch team, OEM visit€18,000ASSUMED
ResultFormulaA yearHalfDouble
R1Die-change minutes held = C-09 × C-10€115,200€56,700€227,700
R2Containment = C-13 × C-12 × C-14€42,000€21,000€84,000
R3Scrap and rework = C-15 × (C-16 − C-17) × C-18 + C-19 × C-20 × C-21€44,145€22,072€88,290
R4Weld-cell OEE = C-26 × C-27 (the weakest figure)€48,400€24,200€96,800
R5Performance-test re-runs = C-28 × C-29 × C-30 × C-31€20,160€10,080€40,320
Totalfive figures, no overlap MODELLED€269,905€134,052€537,110

ASSUMED a stated input for a plant of this size; replace it with the plant's own figure. DERIVED arithmetic on the rows above. Half / Double the result with the movement input (C-07, C-14, C-17 and C-20 together, C-25, C-30) halved or doubled, the frame inputs unchanged; the double is capped where it would exceed what exists (C-11 episodes, one re-run per launch).

Sources (S1 to S7, cited on sheets 2 and 3)

  1. S1 CLEPA / McKinsey, European Automotive Supplier Pulse Check, spring 2026: 76 % of suppliers below 5 % profitability, 24 % loss-making, 73 % with portfolios under review; 1.7 million employees.
  2. S2 Destatis press release N057 (2026): automotive industry employment 691,500 (−5.8 %); suppliers 219,500 (−7.6 %), lowest since 2005; plants with 50 or more employees. Destatis N009 and N039 on the 55-plus share of the workforce.
  3. S3 VDA Volume 2, Production Process and Product Approval (PPA), 7th edition: risk-based approval; §6.1 series conditions; §6.1.2 performance test, its aim and its re-test.
  4. S4 An oversight-body ranking of the five IATF 16949 clauses most often cited in nonconformances: 10.2.3, 8.3.5.2, 10.2.1, 8.5.1.1, 7.1.5.1.1. No counts are published.
  5. S5 Lean Enterprise Institute, Lean Lexicon, Single Minute Exchange of Die: definition, the under-ten-minute target, internal and external set-up.
  6. S6 ISO 10447:2022, Resistance welding, peel and chisel testing of resistance spot and projection welds; sheets 0.5 to 3 mm; weld size and failure mode.
  7. S7 Published supplier-agreement clauses on controlled shipping: level 1 by the supplier's own employees at the supplier's location; level 2 by an impartial third party chosen by the buyer and paid by the supplier.

The weakest figure

R4, weld-cell OEE. It rests on an assumed one point on four cells and on the plant acting on the stop causes the record shows; the record itself moves no OEE. Halve C-25 before quoting it. No figure on these sheets rests on a forecast of die, tool or electrode life; none is made.

No overlap

R1 is press lines, R4 is weld cells: different equipment. R3 is internal scrap and rework; R2 is OEM-side containment: different episodes, and a lot that is scrapped inside is not sorted outside. R5 is launch, outside series production.

Not counted

The ppm itself, energy per hit, cap life, quality-manager hours, audit preparation, Saturday shifts: shown on the record and left out of the total, because their value depends on contracts and rosters this sheet cannot see.

Where the inputs come from

Frame inputs (lines, cells, shifts, days, launches) describe a plant of this size. Rate inputs (C-10, C-12, C-18, C-21, C-27, C-31) are marginal costs, not absorbed rates. Movement inputs (C-07, C-14, C-17, C-20, C-25, C-30) are the ones to argue about; the half and double columns show what the argument is worth.

Blank
Draw
Trim
Pierce
Flange
Restrike
Part-off
Pragmatos · Crius Softwareautomotive Tier-1 case study · CS-09 · 2026

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The seven sheets above as an A4 reference, with the calculation sheet and the sources.